Research Report No. 148Research Report 114, 2000.
This report uses a relatively new method called small area estimation or poverty mapping to estimate measures of poverty and inequality for provinces, districts, and communes in Vietnam. This analysis reveals that poverty rates are highest in the remote uplands areas. However, because these areas are sparsely populated, most of the poor live in the Red and Mekong river deltas. The study also finds that geographic factors—including agro-climatic variables and market access—are good predictors of poverty, explaining about 75 percent of the variation in district-level rural poverty. Because many anti-poverty programs are geographically focused, this research can help improve the design of anti-poverty programs by providing more precise estimates of poverty at the district and commune levels.
Nicholas Minot is a senior research fellow in IFPRI's Markets,Trade, and Institutions Division where he leads a research program on strategies to promote smallholder participation in high-value agricultural commodity supply chains. His research interests include agricultural market reform, fruit and vegetable markets, and the spatial patterns in poverty. He received his Ph.D. and M.S. in agricultural economics from Michigan State University and his B.A. in international development from Brown University.
Bob Baulch is a fellow of the Institute of Development Studies at the University of Sussex and a research theme coordinator for the Chronic Poverty Research Centre. His research interests include rural poverty, poverty dynamics, and food price analysis. He has worked on a long-term basis in Vietnam, Papua New Guinea, the Philippines, and Sudan. He holds a Ph.D. in food research from Stanford University, an M.A. in development economics from the University of Sussex, and a B.A. in philosophy, politics and economics from Oxford University.
Michael Epprecht is a researcher and Ph.D.candidate with the National Center of Competence in Research (NCCR) North-South, Berne, Switzerland. From 2001 to 2004, he was seconded by the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation (SDC) to IFPRI's Markets, Trade, and Institutions Division as a visiting researcher. His research focuses on spatial analysis of socioeconomic rural development. He holds an M.Sc. in Geography from the University of Berne, Switzerland.
The report is available for download in PDF format as an entire document or by chapter.
- Full Report
- Abstract
- Table of Contents, List of Tables, List of Figures, Foreword, and Summary
- Chapter 1: Background
- Chapter 2: Data and Methods
- Chapter 3: Spatial Patterns in Poverty and Inequality
- Chapter 4: Geographic Determinants of Poverty
- Chapter 5: Spatial Variation in Determinants of Poverty
- Chapter 6: Summary and Conclusions
- Appendix A: Comparison of Results Using Different Analysis Methods
- Appendix B: Using GIS-Derived Variables for Statistical Analysis
- References
- Insert - Color Figures
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