Research Report No. 154Research Report 150, 2006.
2020 Discussion Paper 41, 2005.
2020 Discussion Paper 38, 2004.
2020 Discussion Paper 37, 2004.
How can East and Southern African nations reduce poverty and hunger through agricultural growth? How can they create sufficient market demand to power such growth? This report proposes answers to these questions, applying a general equilibrium framework to the experiences of Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. The authors conclude that, for countries like these, promoting traditional agricultural exports, developing nontraditional exports, and increasing food staple growth will probably not be sufficient to generate a significant level of economic growth. Instead, the model simulations suggest that reductions in marketing costs through improved infrastructure and development of market institutions, along with significant growth in the nonagricultural economy (besides that generated by agricultural growth linkages) are necessary conditions for rapid economic growth. This report's findings are a valuable first step toward understanding how East and Southern African nations can achieve economywide growth and poverty reduction.
Xinshen Diao is a senior research fellow in IFPRI's Development Strategy and Governance Division.
Paul Dorosh is a senior economist at the World Bank in the Spatial and Local Development Team of the Sustainable Development Network.
Shaikh Mahfuzur Rahman is a Ph.D. student at the University of Maryland. At the time of this study he was a consultant in IFPRI's Development Strategy and Governance Division.
The abstract and report are available for download in PDF format as an entire document or by chapter.
- Full Report
- Abstract
- Table of Contents, List of Tables, List of Figures, Foreword, Acknowledgments, and Summary
- Chapter 1: Introduction
- Chapter 2: Agricultural Export Markets: Trends, Constraints, and Opportunities
- Chapter 3: Prospects of Regional and Domestic Markets
- Chapter 4: Economywide Analysis of Agricultural Growth Opportunities
- Chapter 5: Conclusions
- Appendix A: Tables
- Appendix B: Mathematical Presentation of the CGE Model
- References
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