IFPRI/2020 Book: Global Food Projections to 2020: Emerging Trends and Alternative Futures

GLOBAL FOOD PROJECTIONS TO 2020
Emerging Trends and Alternative Futures

Front Cover Image By Mark W. Rosegrant, Michael S. Paisner, Siet Meijer and Julie Witcover
206 pages / 2001 / ISBN 0-89629-640-7

ABOUT THIS BOOK
In this volume, which reports the results of IFPRI’s projection work in far more detail than previous publications, the authors give their best assessment of what the future food situation will be in the baseline scenario. Then they examine the effects of changes in policy, technology, and life styles through two sets of alternative scenarios. One set explores changes at the global level; the other is regional, focusing on changes specific to Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa.

These scenarios point to one inescapable conclusion: even rather small changes in agricultural and development policies and investments, made in both developed and developing countries, can have wide-reaching effects on the number of poor and undernourished people around the world. The policy choices we make now will determine to a considerable degree what kind of lives the next generation will lead.

ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Mark W. Rosegrant is a research fellow in the Environment and Production Technology Division of the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). Michael S. Paisner is a research assistant at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Siet Meijer is a senior research assistant in the Environment and Production Technology Division of IFPRI. Julie Witcover is a graduate student at the University of California, Davis.
DOWNLOAD THE BOOK
The book is available for download in PDF format as an entire document or by chapter.

Entire Book

Book Chapters:

    Table of Contents, Foreword and Acknowledgements

    Chapter 1: Introduction

    Chapter 2: Recent Trend in Food Supply and Demand

    Chapter 3: The IMPACT Model

    Chapter 4: Projections of Global Food Supply and Demand and Child Malnutrition

    Chapter 5: Alternative Global Scenarios for Food Supply, Demand, Trade, and Security

    Chapter 6: Alternative Regional Scenarios

    Chapter 7: Investment Requirements: What Will the Costs Be?

    Chapter 8: Summary and Conclusions

Appendices:

    Appendix A: Countries and Commodities Included in the IMPACT Model

    Appendix B: Supplementary Production, Demand, and Trade Data

    Appendix C: Regional Food Supply and Demand Data and Annual Growth Rates

    Appendix D: Production, Demand, and Trade Data by Commodity, 1997 and 2020

Notes

References

SUMMARY REPORT
A summary report, entitled 2020 Global Food Outlook: Trends, Alternatives, and Choices, is also available.


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